For the February and March issue we have selected three articles as Editor’s choices that are currently open access. We selected papers that are at the heart of our publication mission, so papers that aim at providing synthesis in ecology. The work by Sergio Estay and colleagues focusses on the role of temperature variability for insect performance, and how these individual changes in performance feedback on population dynamics. The work is theory-based and provides a framework to organize research of the role that thermal mean and variability plays in individual performance, and how it may affect population dynamics. By developing null models, they demonstrate that potential changes in the intrinsic population growth rate depend on the interaction of mean temperature and thermal variability, and that the net effect of the interaction could be synergistic or antagonistic. The theoretical models are evaluated using data compiled from literature.
A promising avenue to test these theoretical predictions is using experimental microcosms. While it remains questionable to which degree such small-scale studies scale up to macroscopic patterns, they allow a tight coupling between simple models and real data that are collected in a standardized manner. Clements and colleagues followed this approach to test the effects of directional environmental change on extinction dynamics in experimental microbial communities as predicted by a simple model. Based on the assumption that temperature does alter an individual’s metabolic rate, and consequently birth and death rates, they predict that in declining populations, these alterations may manifest as changes in the rate of that population’s decline, and subsequently the timing of extinction events. Clements and colleagues find that extinction occurs earlier in environments that warm faster, and importantly that phenomenon can be accurately predicted by a simple metabolic model. Increasing the number of parameters that were temperature-dependent increased the model’s accuracy, as did scaling these temperature-dependent parameters.
The last Editor’s choice for now is the Per Brinck contribution from 2013 by Sharon Strauss: Ecological and evolutionary responses in complex communities: implications for invasions and eco-evolutionary feedbacks. In this contribution, Strauss discusses our current understanding on how interactions between ecological and evolutionary dynamics affect the organization and functioning of simple and more complex communities. Based on her own work and that of many others, she examines how community complexity may influence the nature and magnitude of these eco-evolutionary feedbacks, and how an escape from community complexity per se affects the success of invaders. She synthesizes the diverse dynamics into three general types: those generating alternative stable states, cyclic dynamics, and those maintaining ecological stasis and stability.